Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.068377 0.076954 0.085761 0.095451 0.105784 0.116446 0.128251
2025-05-11 0.052848 0.065390 0.078976 0.094647 0.112090 0.130787 0.152220
2025-05-18 0.044683 0.059820 0.076936 0.097401 0.120898 0.146757 0.177095
2025-05-25 0.038539 0.055398 0.075194 0.099586 0.128301 0.160560 0.199077
2025-06-01 0.031751 0.049222 0.070552 0.097630 0.130281 0.167669 0.213030
2025-06-08 0.026195 0.043857 0.066269 0.095536 0.131612 0.173636 0.225341
2025-06-15 0.023521 0.041915 0.065979 0.098087 0.138315 0.185762 0.244725
2025-06-22 0.020794 0.039561 0.064891 0.099417 0.143361 0.195807 0.261597
2025-06-29 0.019323 0.038809 0.065785 0.103178 0.151352 0.209365 0.282652
2025-07-06 0.017052 0.036606 0.064512 0.103961 0.155496 0.218187 0.298009
2025-07-13 0.017230 0.038166 0.068468 0.111684 0.168491 0.237905 0.326590
2025-07-20 0.014572 0.034931 0.065440 0.109889 0.169183 0.242397 0.336685
2025-07-27 0.013283 0.033916 0.065682 0.112715 0.176143 0.255061 0.357283
2025-08-03 0.011208 0.031308 0.063432 0.112035 0.178523 0.262072 0.371098
2025-08-10 0.010246 0.030564 0.063914 0.115129 0.185871 0.275357 0.392705
2025-08-17 0.009246 0.029606 0.063970 0.117556 0.192299 0.287471 0.412884
2025-08-24 0.007488 0.026849 0.060965 0.115392 0.192400 0.291397 0.422762
2025-08-31 0.005958 0.024240 0.057977 0.113072 0.192150 0.294773 0.431882
2025-09-07 0.005423 0.023755 0.058474 0.115899 0.198957 0.307284 0.452532
2025-09-14 0.004748 0.022808 0.058104 0.117371 0.203863 0.317322 0.470077
2025-09-21 0.004497 0.022879 0.059496 0.121532 0.212538 0.332319 0.493971
2025-09-28 0.003858 0.021803 0.058778 0.122397 0.216566 0.341218 0.510122
2025-10-05 0.004174 0.023411 0.062955 0.130922 0.231464 0.364501 0.544717